Agathon: And when do your models predict the dollar will fall?
Kapelikos: 2003.
Agathon: Three years ago?
Kapelikos: Yep.
Agathon: But as long as people believe the argument on the other side, the dollar doesn't decline, and the argument looks correct?
Kapelikos: Yep--for one more year.
Agathon: How many more yars are you going to be saying, "Wait just one more year"?
Kapelikos: Until I can say, "I told you so."
Wednesday, March 15, 2006
Why We Love/Hate Economists
Brad Delong has a debate:
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