The World Turned Upside Down

The latest tracking poll from SES:

Canada Decided Voters
LIB – 35% (-2)
CP – 35% (+6)
NDP – 14% (-1)
BQ – 13% (-1)
GP –4 (-1)
*14% of Canadians were undecided (-2)

In Quebec
BQ – 52% (-6)
LIB – 29% (+9)
CP – 11% (+2)
NDP – 5% (-3)
GP – 2% (-1)
*18% of Quebecers were undecided (+7)

Outside Quebec
CP – 42% (+5)
LIB – 37% (-2)
NDP - 16% (-3)
GP – 5% (+1)
*13% of Canadians outside Quebec were undecided (-4)

Here's hoping the Liberal surge in Quebec keeps going. But look at the "outside Quebec" numbers. The Conservatives have a 5 point lead nationwide, discounting Quebec (where it's purely Bloc-Liberal anyway.) This must be the first election in more than a decade where Conservatives have been doing this well.

I'm still waiting for Harper to screw it up. I was never one of those who could actually come out and say "Boy, a Harper minority might be a good thing", but I have in the past been able to find the bright side - namely, that the Conservatives are unlikely to do a lot of harm in the minority.

So unless Ralph Klein opens his mouth again, or Harper royally screws up the debates, it looks like a Conservative minority is a definite possibility. Dare I say a likelihood.

Oh, and between Gomery and the Income Trust thing, can we please acknowledge reality and not blame the NDP or the Greens for bringing us here?